外债压力和利率对马来西亚经济的影响,货币供应推动经济增长是真的吗?

Refina Sawitri, Amaury Capdeville Chapuzet
{"title":"外债压力和利率对马来西亚经济的影响,货币供应推动经济增长是真的吗?","authors":"Refina Sawitri, Amaury Capdeville Chapuzet","doi":"10.54204/tmji/vol512022006","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"The study aims to investigate foreign debt, interest rates, exchange rates, and economic growth in Malaysia. This study uses secondary data sourced from the world bank with an annual research period from 2000 to 2020. This research uses The data analysis method used in this research is the causal analysis method, namely the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL). We found that external debt hinders Malaysia's economic growth, this is reinforced by a significant negative relationship both in the long and short term from interest rates which actually suppress economic growth. It is intriguing that there is a strong positive correlation between economic growth and foreign debt in the short term. While it is logical that foreign debt boosts growth temporarily, it eventually (in long term) weighs down the economy. Economic growth is driven by the strengthening of the exchange rate, but not the money supply in both the long and short term. The money supply actually only encourages economic growth in the short term but depresses the economy in the long run.","PeriodicalId":348491,"journal":{"name":"Tamansiswa Management Journal International","volume":"32 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2022-04-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Pressure on Foreign Debt and Interest Rates on the Malaysian Economy, Is it True that the Money Supply Drives Economic Growth?\",\"authors\":\"Refina Sawitri, Amaury Capdeville Chapuzet\",\"doi\":\"10.54204/tmji/vol512022006\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"The study aims to investigate foreign debt, interest rates, exchange rates, and economic growth in Malaysia. This study uses secondary data sourced from the world bank with an annual research period from 2000 to 2020. This research uses The data analysis method used in this research is the causal analysis method, namely the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL). We found that external debt hinders Malaysia's economic growth, this is reinforced by a significant negative relationship both in the long and short term from interest rates which actually suppress economic growth. It is intriguing that there is a strong positive correlation between economic growth and foreign debt in the short term. While it is logical that foreign debt boosts growth temporarily, it eventually (in long term) weighs down the economy. Economic growth is driven by the strengthening of the exchange rate, but not the money supply in both the long and short term. The money supply actually only encourages economic growth in the short term but depresses the economy in the long run.\",\"PeriodicalId\":348491,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Tamansiswa Management Journal International\",\"volume\":\"32 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2022-04-30\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Tamansiswa Management Journal International\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.54204/tmji/vol512022006\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Tamansiswa Management Journal International","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.54204/tmji/vol512022006","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0

摘要

这项研究旨在调查马来西亚的外债、利率、汇率和经济增长。本研究使用的二手数据来自世界银行,研究周期为2000年至2020年。本研究使用的数据分析方法是因果分析法,即自回归分布滞后(ARDL)。我们发现外债阻碍了马来西亚的经济增长,这一点在长期和短期内都被利率显著的负相关关系所强化,而利率实际上抑制了经济增长。有趣的是,短期内经济增长与外债之间存在着强烈的正相关关系。虽然外债暂时促进经济增长是合乎逻辑的,但它最终(从长期来看)会拖累经济。经济增长是由汇率走强推动的,而不是长期和短期的货币供应。货币供应实际上只会在短期内促进经济增长,但在长期内会抑制经济增长。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Pressure on Foreign Debt and Interest Rates on the Malaysian Economy, Is it True that the Money Supply Drives Economic Growth?
The study aims to investigate foreign debt, interest rates, exchange rates, and economic growth in Malaysia. This study uses secondary data sourced from the world bank with an annual research period from 2000 to 2020. This research uses The data analysis method used in this research is the causal analysis method, namely the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL). We found that external debt hinders Malaysia's economic growth, this is reinforced by a significant negative relationship both in the long and short term from interest rates which actually suppress economic growth. It is intriguing that there is a strong positive correlation between economic growth and foreign debt in the short term. While it is logical that foreign debt boosts growth temporarily, it eventually (in long term) weighs down the economy. Economic growth is driven by the strengthening of the exchange rate, but not the money supply in both the long and short term. The money supply actually only encourages economic growth in the short term but depresses the economy in the long run.
求助全文
通过发布文献求助,成功后即可免费获取论文全文。 去求助
来源期刊
自引率
0.00%
发文量
0
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
确定
请完成安全验证×
copy
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
右上角分享
点击右上角分享
0
联系我们:info@booksci.cn Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。 Copyright © 2023 布克学术 All rights reserved.
京ICP备2023020795号-1
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术官方微信