汇款与尼日利亚经济增长

M. A. Loto, A. Alao
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引用次数: 1

摘要

该研究调查了1980年至2016年外国汇款对尼日利亚经济增长的贡献,使用矢量误差校正模型(VECM)技术分析了分类汇款的长期和短期影响,即移民汇款和工人汇款,以确定它们是否会对尼日利亚的经济增长产生不同的影响。汇款的两个组成部分表现不同。虽然移民汇款部分与经济增长表现出长期正的、统计显著的关系,但另一个组成部分即工人汇款在长期具有负的、统计显著的影响,短期关系也在变量之间建立,因为ECM项是负的、统计显著的。结果显示,人均国内生产总值与移民汇款之间存在单向因果关系,而工人汇款与人均国内生产总值之间没有因果关系。因此,该研究建议有必要战略性地利用工人汇款的贡献,确保这些钱用于当地生产的商品而不是进口商品,以确保与尼日利亚的经济增长产生积极的关系。该研究由此得出结论,汇款是尼日利亚经济增长的主要驱动力。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Remittances and the Growth of the Nigerian Economy
The study investigated the contributions of foreign remittances on economic growth in Nigeria from 1980 to 2016, using the Vector error correction modelling (VECM) technique to analyze the long run and short run impact of disaggregated remittances that is Migrants ’Remittances and Workers’ Remittances to find out whether they will perform differently in relation to economic growth in Nigeria. The two components of remittances performed differently. While the Migrants remittance component exhibits a long run positive, statistically significant relationship with economic growth, the other component i.e Workers Remittance has a negative statistically significant impact in the long run, short run relationship was also established among the variables as the ECM term was negative and statistically significant. The results showed a unidirectional causality from GDP per capita to Migrants remittances while no causality was found between workers’ remittances and gross domestic product per capita. The study therefore recommends the need to strategically harness the contribution of workers’ remittances by ensuring that the money is spent on locally produced goods instead of imported goods so as to ensure a positive relationship with economic growth in Nigeria. The study hereby concludes that remittance is a major driver of economic growth in Nigeria.
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