公司破产概率的财务风险评估与控制

N. Kazakova, M. Bobkova, A. Sivkova, I. Kuzmina-Merlino
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究的目的是开发分析工具来评估和预测破产的可能性,以及在财务和咨询技术尽职调查中使用破产的可能性。建议的评估和预测公司财务破产风险的方法包括四个阶段:财务结果评估;偿付能力的评估;识别和计算财务风险,并核实结果与使用知名预测模型的类似估计的可比性;开发用于预测和评估破产风险水平定位变化的财务指标的计算器。该技术的建议应用领域:审计和咨询活动,改进使用工具的做法,以执行审计师和审计公司的自我监管组织的国际审计标准;发展尽职调查技术,以证明借款人、参与投标和交换的公司以及内部审计、内部控制和业务流程财务控制系统的选择是合理的。Keywords-audit;风险;业务连续性;破产;分析工具;尽职调查;金融安全
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Financial Risks Assessment and Control of the Bankruptcy Probability of a Company
The purpose of this study is to develop analytical tools to assess and predict the likelihood of bankruptcy, as well as the possibility of its use in financial and consulting technology Due Diligence. The proposed methodology for assessing and forecasting the risks of financial insolvency of a company includes four stages: assessment of financial results; solvency assessment; identification and calculation of financial risks and verification of comparability of results with similar estimates using well-known forecast models; development of a calculator for forecasting and evaluating financial indicators for positioning changes in the level of bankruptcy risk. Recommended areas of application of this technique: audit and consulting activities, improvement of the practice of using tools for implementing international audit standards for self-regulatory organizations of auditors and audit companies; development of the Due Diligence technology to justify the choice of companies borrowers, companies participating in tenders and exchanges, as well as in systems of internal audit, internal control, financial control of business processes. Keywords—audit; risks; business continuity; bankruptcy; analytical tools; Due Diligence; financial security
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