求解回归中多重共线性问题的贝叶斯方法

A. Adepoju, Oluwadare O. Ojo
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引用次数: 10

摘要

普通最小二乘(OLS)是回归中常用的估计方法,特别是在方差大、置信区间宽的情况下,往往表现出低效率,从而在存在强多重共线性的情况下难以进行精确估计。当有相关的先验信息和被建模情景的信念时,贝叶斯估计方法有望提高估计回归模型的效率。然而,本研究提供了一种替代OLS的方法,当存在几乎完美的多重共线性时,并借助模拟方法对OLS估计器的性能进行了比较。仿真研究结果表明,在均方误差(MSE)准则和其他准则方面,该方法的性能优于OLS。关键词:多重共线性,回归,标准误差,仿真AMS 2010数学学科分类:62F15, 62GO5, 62H10
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Bayesian method for solving the problem of multicollinearity in regression
The popular method of estimation in regression, Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) often displays inefficiency especially with large variances and wide confidence intervals thereby making precise estimate difficult when there is strong multicollinearity. Bayesian method of estimation is expected to improve the efficiency of estimated regression model when there is relevant prior information and belief of situation being modelled is available. This study however provided an alternative approach to OLS when there is almost perfect multicollinearity while its performance were compared with the aid of simulation approach to OLS estimator. Results of the simulation study indicate that with respect to Mean Squared Error (MSE) criterion and other criteria, the proposed method perform better than OLS. Keywords: Multicollinearity, Regression, Standard Error, Simulation AMS 2010 Mathematics Subject Classification: 62F15, 62GO5, 62H10
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