{"title":"纳什非线性灰色伯努利模型在台湾两大贸易伙伴汇率预测中的应用","authors":"Chun-I Chen, Pei-Han Hsin","doi":"10.4172/2168-9458.1000165","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"The precise prediction of foreign exchange rate is very important for international traders and investors. This study adopts nonlinear grey Bernoulli model (NGBM) and Nash NGBM (NNGBM) to predict the currency exchange rate of Taiwan’s two top trading partners, America and China. The simulation results show that Taiwan’s currency will appreciate against USD and CNY from the fourth quarter of 2015 to the second quarter of 2016. The conclusions can act as reference for international traders and investors.","PeriodicalId":315937,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Stock & Forex Trading","volume":"9 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2016-01-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"2","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Application of the Nash Nonlinear Grey Bernoulli Model for Forecasting Foreign Exchange Rate of Taiwans Top Two Trading Partners\",\"authors\":\"Chun-I Chen, Pei-Han Hsin\",\"doi\":\"10.4172/2168-9458.1000165\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"The precise prediction of foreign exchange rate is very important for international traders and investors. This study adopts nonlinear grey Bernoulli model (NGBM) and Nash NGBM (NNGBM) to predict the currency exchange rate of Taiwan’s two top trading partners, America and China. The simulation results show that Taiwan’s currency will appreciate against USD and CNY from the fourth quarter of 2015 to the second quarter of 2016. The conclusions can act as reference for international traders and investors.\",\"PeriodicalId\":315937,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Journal of Stock & Forex Trading\",\"volume\":\"9 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2016-01-29\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"2\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Journal of Stock & Forex Trading\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.4172/2168-9458.1000165\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Stock & Forex Trading","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.4172/2168-9458.1000165","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Application of the Nash Nonlinear Grey Bernoulli Model for Forecasting Foreign Exchange Rate of Taiwans Top Two Trading Partners
The precise prediction of foreign exchange rate is very important for international traders and investors. This study adopts nonlinear grey Bernoulli model (NGBM) and Nash NGBM (NNGBM) to predict the currency exchange rate of Taiwan’s two top trading partners, America and China. The simulation results show that Taiwan’s currency will appreciate against USD and CNY from the fourth quarter of 2015 to the second quarter of 2016. The conclusions can act as reference for international traders and investors.
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