中国对外直接投资出口:全球趋势与新旧常态

E. Sizykh
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在过去的8年里,中国一直稳居全球对外直接投资(OFDI)的前三名。中国政府实施“走出去”政策,实现了国家社会经济体系发展的复杂目标,这在当前转型过程中尤为重要。中国作为资本市场的主要参与者,与全球资本市场大趋势有着复杂的关系,一方面受其影响,另一方面又参与其形成。本文揭示了全球投资停滞、世界资本市场去全球化和区域化、国际生产和全球价值链重组以及可持续发展目标投资增加等外国直接投资运动的主要长期全球趋势。该研究评估了中国对外直接投资的本地趋势受这些全球进程影响的程度。本文还分析了中国政府对全球大流行引发的现代挑战的反应,并得出结论,现代条件下的对外直接投资趋势是可持续的。最后,对新冠肺炎疫情后世界和中国的直接投资动向进行了预测。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Exports of Foreign Direct Investment from China: Global Trends and New Old Normality
Over the past 8 years China has been steadily holding the position in the top three global leaders of outward foreign direct investments (OFDI). Implementing the “Go Out” policy the Chinese government achieves the complex objectives of development of the national socio-economic system that is especially important in the process of its current transformation. As a major player in the capital market, China enters into complex relationships with global capital market megatrends, being influenced by them on the one hand and taking part in their formation on the other. This paper reveals the main long-term global trends in the movement of foreign direct investment such as stagnation of global investment, deglobalization and regionalization of world capital markets, restructuring of international production and global value chains and also increased investment in sustainable development goals. The study assesses the extent to which local trends of outward direct investment in the PRC are influenced by these global processes. The paper also analyzes the response of the PRC government to modern challenges provoked by the global pandemic and concludes that OFDI trends in modern conditions are sustainable. In conclusion, the forecast for the direct investment movement in the world and China in a post-COVID world is given.
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