欧洲权力斗争。欧盟的脱碳议程能否打破电力行业的国有企业轴心?

T. Sattich, I. Ydersbond, D. Scholten
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摘要

欧洲的电力系统仍然以明显的国家组成部分为标志,尽管一些地区拥有强大的综合电力系统,但今天的电力供应在很大程度上仍然以国家为基础。电力部门的脱碳政策可能会从根本上改变这种状况,因为可再生能源、碳中和能源的发电可能需要大型、灵活和异质的电力池作为高效运行的背景。因此,整合欧洲电力系统的小部分或非整合部分是欧洲电力部门向更多可再生能源成功转型的关键因素。但是,促进一体化、输电距离增加和市场扩大的发展可能会导致欧洲发电能力分配的重新洗牌。与任何根本性的政策变化一样,电力行业的去碳化将产生新的赢家和输家。此外,一个一体化的电力系统可能会导致对邻国善意的新的依赖。因此,欧洲面临着“第22条军规”:一方面,政策制定者看到了可再生能源和国内能源资源开发的优势,但发电、配电和消费的必要调整意味着“损害”国家电力部门的风险。因此,欧盟增加可再生能源和创建内部能源市场(IEM)的政策旨在通过刺激可再生能源基础设施的建设和在成员国之间建立更多的互联来改善这种情况。但由于国家层面的利益不同,各成员国为实现这些总体目标所做贡献的雄心程度差别很大。因此,如果要克服成员国不愿整合电力系统的问题,欧盟手中的工具就必须加以完善。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
European Power Struggles. Can EU's Decarbonisation Agenda Break the State-Company Axis in the Power Sector?
Europe’s power system is still marked by a distinct national component, and despite some regions with strongly integrated power systems, electricity supply today still has a largely national basis. Policies to decarbonise the power sector may fundamentally alter this situation, because power generation from renewable, carbon-neutral sources may require large, flexible, and heterogenic power pools as backdrop for efficient operation. Integration of little or non-integrated parts of the European power system is therefore a key element for the successful transition of the European power sector towards more renewables. But a development which fosters integration, growing transmission distances and bigger markets will likely lead to a reshuffling of allocation of power generation capacity in Europe. As with any fundamental policy change, decarbonisation of the power sector will create new winners and losers. Moreover, an integrated power system will probably cause new dependencies on the good-will of neighbouring countries. Europe is hence confronted with a ‘catch-22’: On the one hand, policy makers see the advantages of renewables and the exploitation of domestic energy resources, yet the necessary adaptations of power generation, distribution and consumption implies the risk of ‘harming’ the national power sector. EU policies to increase renewables and to create an internal energy market (IEM) thus aim at ameliorating this situation by e.g. both stimulating construction of renewable energy infrastructure and creating more interconnectors between member states. But due to various interests at the national level, member states’ levels of ambitions in contributing to achieving these overarching targets vary a lot. The instruments the European Union has at her hands will therefore have to be refined if the reluctance of member states to integrate power systems is to be overcome.
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