{"title":"混合Gamma-Gamma、logistic- gamma分布分析异质生存数据","authors":"Othman Musa Yakubu, Y. Mohammed, A. Imam","doi":"10.18488/24.v11i1.2924","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Survival analysis deals with failure time data. The presence of censoring makes the application of the classical parametric and nonparametric methods of survival analysis inadequate and as such need’s modifications. Parametric mixture models are applied where a single classical model may not suffice. The parametric mixture needs to be made more robust to address the heterogeneity of survival data. This paper proposed a mixture of two distributions for the analysis of survival data, the models consist of Gamma-Gamma, and Loglogistic-Gamma distributions. Data was simulated to investigate the performance of the models, and used to estimate the maximum likelihood parameters of the models by employing Expectation Maximization (EM). Parameters of the models were estimated and were all close the postulated values. Simulations were repeated to test the consistency and stability of the models through mean square error (MSE) and root mean square error (RMSE), and were all found to be stable and consistent. Real data was applied to determine the best fit among the mixture models and classical distributions using information criteria. Mixture models were found to model the data and the mixture of two different distributions gives the best fit.","PeriodicalId":355380,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Mathematical Research","volume":"41 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2022-02-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"A Mixture of Gamma-Gamma, Loglogistic-Gamma Distributions for the Analysis of Heterogenous Survival Data\",\"authors\":\"Othman Musa Yakubu, Y. Mohammed, A. Imam\",\"doi\":\"10.18488/24.v11i1.2924\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Survival analysis deals with failure time data. The presence of censoring makes the application of the classical parametric and nonparametric methods of survival analysis inadequate and as such need’s modifications. Parametric mixture models are applied where a single classical model may not suffice. The parametric mixture needs to be made more robust to address the heterogeneity of survival data. This paper proposed a mixture of two distributions for the analysis of survival data, the models consist of Gamma-Gamma, and Loglogistic-Gamma distributions. Data was simulated to investigate the performance of the models, and used to estimate the maximum likelihood parameters of the models by employing Expectation Maximization (EM). Parameters of the models were estimated and were all close the postulated values. Simulations were repeated to test the consistency and stability of the models through mean square error (MSE) and root mean square error (RMSE), and were all found to be stable and consistent. Real data was applied to determine the best fit among the mixture models and classical distributions using information criteria. Mixture models were found to model the data and the mixture of two different distributions gives the best fit.\",\"PeriodicalId\":355380,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"International Journal of Mathematical Research\",\"volume\":\"41 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2022-02-15\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"International Journal of Mathematical Research\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.18488/24.v11i1.2924\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"International Journal of Mathematical Research","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.18488/24.v11i1.2924","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
摘要
生存分析处理的是失效时间数据。审查的存在使得经典的参数和非参数生存分析方法的应用不足,因此需要进行修改。参数混合模型应用于单一经典模型可能不满足的地方。参数混合需要更加稳健,以解决生存数据的异质性。本文提出了一种混合分布来分析生存数据,该模型由Gamma-Gamma和logistic- gamma分布组成。通过模拟数据来考察模型的性能,并利用期望最大化(EM)来估计模型的最大似然参数。对模型的参数进行了估计,均接近假设值。通过均方误差(mean square error, MSE)和均方根误差(root mean square error, RMSE)对模型的一致性和稳定性进行了反复模拟,均得到稳定一致的结果。利用真实数据,利用信息准则确定混合模型与经典分布的最佳拟合。发现了混合模型来模拟数据,两种不同分布的混合给出了最佳拟合。
A Mixture of Gamma-Gamma, Loglogistic-Gamma Distributions for the Analysis of Heterogenous Survival Data
Survival analysis deals with failure time data. The presence of censoring makes the application of the classical parametric and nonparametric methods of survival analysis inadequate and as such need’s modifications. Parametric mixture models are applied where a single classical model may not suffice. The parametric mixture needs to be made more robust to address the heterogeneity of survival data. This paper proposed a mixture of two distributions for the analysis of survival data, the models consist of Gamma-Gamma, and Loglogistic-Gamma distributions. Data was simulated to investigate the performance of the models, and used to estimate the maximum likelihood parameters of the models by employing Expectation Maximization (EM). Parameters of the models were estimated and were all close the postulated values. Simulations were repeated to test the consistency and stability of the models through mean square error (MSE) and root mean square error (RMSE), and were all found to be stable and consistent. Real data was applied to determine the best fit among the mixture models and classical distributions using information criteria. Mixture models were found to model the data and the mixture of two different distributions gives the best fit.