基于Laspeyres指数分解法的加纳能源需求变化驱动因素分析:Q效应、I效应和S效应

B. Akrofi, I. Ackah, D. Sakyi
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引用次数: 1

摘要

自独立以来,加纳经历了四次主要的电力危机,原因是水力大坝的水位低,无法为国家提供所需的电力,以及有限而昂贵的原油和天然气供应。这些能源供应限制使得该国必须依靠需求侧管理政策来解决该国的能源危机。然而,在不了解确切原因的情况下,笼统地应用需求侧管理政策很可能会失败。因此,本研究将影响能源消耗的因素分解为活动效应、强度效应和结构效应,以便政策制定者知道哪些因素和经济部门对能源消耗的大幅增加负有责任。通过这种方式,政策制定者将适当的需求侧管理政策应用于导致增长的特定因素和部门,以获得预期的结果。研究发现,活动效应是加纳能源消费的主要驱动力。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Analysis of the Drivers of Ghana's Energy Demand Change Using the Laspeyres Index Method of Decomposition: Q‐Effect, I‐Effect and S‐Effect
Since independence, Ghana has experienced four major power crises as a result of the low water level in the hydro dams to generate the required amount of power for the country as well as limited and expensive supply of crude oil and gas. These energy supply constraints make it imperative for the country to rely on demand‐side management policies to address the energy crisis of the country. However, demand‐side management policies that are applied in generic terms without knowing the exact cause are likely to fail. This study therefore decomposes the factors that influence energy consumption into activity effect, intensity effect and structural effect, so that policymakers will know which factor(s) and also the sectors of the economy that are responsible for the large increases in energy consumption. This way, policymakers will apply the appropriate demand‐side management policy to a particular factor(s) and the sectors causing the increase to get the desired results. The study finds that activity effect is the main driver of energy consumption in Ghana.
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