《小家伙的贷款:大萧条时期的信贷、危机和复苏》

Sarah Quincy
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引用次数: 8

摘要

本文研究结构转型如何加剧金融危机。使用新收集的数据,我记录了大萧条期间信贷供应冲击对地方经济的持续影响。在20世纪20年代,拥有异常庞大的分支网络的城市与加州其他城市没有什么不同,但在30年代,它们的衰退幅度要小得多,复苏力度要大得多。相关的工人层面数据显示,当地信贷供应将工人从农业转移到非贸易就业岗位,这是更高技能的就业岗位,给趋同造成了挥之不去的障碍。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
'Loans for the Little Fellow:' Credit, Crisis, and Recovery in the Great Depression
This paper studies how structural transformation exacerbates financial crises. Using newly collected data, I document the persistent effect of credit supply shocks on local economies during the Great Depression. Cities with access to an unusually generous branching network were no different from other California cities in the 1920s but had significantly smaller recessions and stronger recoveries in the 1930s. Linked worker-level data demonstrate local credit supply shifted workers out of agriculture and into nontradable employment, which was higher-skilled, creating a lingering barrier to convergence.
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