日本投资组合再平衡:量化宽松的约束和影响

Serkan Arslanalp, D. Botman
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引用次数: 9

摘要

投资组合再平衡是日本量化宽松政策的重要传导渠道。我们构建了一个现实的再平衡情景,这表明考虑到银行的抵押品需求、保险公司的资产负债管理约束以及主要养老基金宣布的资产配置目标,日本央行可能需要在2017年或2018年逐步减少购买日本国债。尽管如此,日本央行可以通过延长购买日本国债的期限或扩大私人资产购买规模,来实施持续的货币刺激。我们量化了再平衡对资本外流的影响,并讨论了日本国债市场的信号,这些信号可能表明限制是可以达到的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Portfolio Rebalancing in Japan: Constraints and Implications for Quantitative Easing
Portfolio rebalancing is a key transmission channel of quantitative easing in Japan. We construct a realistic rebalancing scenario, which suggests that the BoJ may need to taper its JGB purchases in 2017 or 2018, given collateral needs of banks, asset-liability management constraints of insurers, and announced asset allocation targets of major pension funds. Nonetheless, the BoJ could deliver continued monetary stimulus by extending the maturity of its JGB purchases or by scaling up private asset purchases. We quantify the impact of rebalancing on capital outflows and discuss JGB market signals that can be indicative of limits being within reach.
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