发展全国自动化数据处理和控制系统的经验及其在苏联国民经济中实施的问题

A. A. Nazarov
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摘要

这篇评论文章专门分析在制订一个全国自动数据处理和控制系统项目方面的经验,以及在苏联国民经济中执行该项目的问题。本文认为,OGAS思想的产生及其以可计算一般均衡模型(CGE模型)、动态随机一般均衡模型(DSGE模型)和面向主体模型等形式的发展,与社会经济关系在各个层面的客观复杂性、生产的社会性、劳动的高度分化和产业的深度专业化、生产的信息化、以及高性能计算系统的可用性和超级计算机技术的广泛使用,以监测、预测和规划世界经济对象和过程的社会经济指标,这反映在国内外研究人员的工作中。研究方法。研究的主要方法是文献分析法、归纳法、比较法和实证与理论资料的系统化。结果。正如对科学文献的分析所显示的那样,在确定阻碍OGAS项目发展并导致其缩减的主要原因方面,可以区分出两种观点。第一种观点基于“错失的机会”的叙述,并将部门利益定义为主要因素。根据第二种观点,人们应该批评苏联控制论、计算机技术和计算机科学发展的未实现机会的立场,以及关于“里程碑”解决方案存在的立场,在此之后,这种发展突然停止,此外,“错失机会”的叙述不能客观地评估这个或那个历史事件发生的条件。并将执行失败的责任全部推给当时作出决定的具体行政机构或个人。结论。尽管在苏联的国民经济活动中发展和实施OGAS的想法是进步的,行政和命令的管理形式对此作出了贡献,但仍然没有充分实施OGAS的充分客观条件。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
EXPERIENCE IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF A NATIONWIDE AUTOMATED DATA PROCESSING AND CONTROL SYSTEM AND PROBLEMS OF ITS IMPLEMENTATION IN THE NATIONAL ECONOMY OF THE USSR
The review article is devoted to the analysis of the experience in developing a project of a Nationwide automated data processing and control system (OGAS), as well as the problems of its implementation in the national economy of the USSR. It is stated that the emergence of the very idea of OGAS and its subsequent development in the form of computable general equilibrium models (CGE models), dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models (DSGE models) and agent-oriented models are associated with the objective complication of socio-economic relations at all levels, the social nature of production, a high degree of labor differentiation and deep specialization of industries, informatization of production, as well as availability of high-performance computing systems and a widespread use of supercomputer technologies for monitoring, forecasting and planning socio-economic indicators of objects and processes of the world economy, which is reflected in the works of domestic and foreign researchers. Research methods. The main methods were literature analysis, generalization, comparison and systematization of empirical and theoretical data. Results. As the analysis of scientific literature showed, it is possible to distinguish two points of view on defining the main reasons that hindered the development of the OGAS project and resulted in its curtailment. The first point of view is based on the narrative of a "missed chance", and the departmental interest is defined as the main factor. According to the second point of view, one should be critical of the position about unrealized opportunities for the development of Soviet cybernetics, computer technology and computer science and the position about the presence of "milestone" solutions, after which this development abruptly stopped, in addition, the narrative of a "missed chance" does not make it possible to objectively assess the conditions in which this or that historical event took place, and shifts all responsibility for the failure in implementation on to specific administrative structures or persons who made the decision at that time. Conclusions. Despite the fact that the idea of developing and implementing OGAS in the national economic activity of the USSR was progressive and the administrative and command form of management contributed to this, there were still no sufficient objective conditions for its full implementation.
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