Barbara Zbroińska
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引用次数: 0

摘要

目的-展示相互依存关系,评估私人和公共预算对2019冠状病毒病大流行造成的危机的敏感性。▽研究方法=采用了对家庭预算、企业财务、州、地方自治团体预算等统计资料进行定性和定量分析的方法。危机影响的强度是根据危机第一年之后预算的变量动态与危机前一年相比的差异来评估的。结果——大流行危机给公共预算带来了更大压力。个人所得税收入对危机最为敏感。在危机期间,公共预算在收入动态方面比私人预算表现出更大的负差异。在危机期间,国家预算的负担包括较低的税收收入和自由裁量的财政政策。家庭储蓄动态的显著增加证明了行为因素的强烈影响。原创性/价值/含义/建议-本文提出了作者对公共和私人预算之间危机影响的负担分配的评估。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Wrażliwość budżetów publicznych i prywatnych na kryzys spowodowany pandemią COVID-19 na przykładzie polskiej gospodarki
Purpose – To demonstrate the interdependence and assess the sensitivity of private and public budgets to the crisis caused by the COVID-19 pandemic. Research method – The method of quantitative and qualitative analysis of statistical data on household budgets, corporate finances and state and local government budgets was applied. The strength of the impact of the crisis was assessed on the basis of the difference in the dynamics of variables characterising budgets after the first year of the crisis compared to the year before the crisis. Results – Pandemic crisis has put greater strain on public budgets. Personal income tax revenues are the most sensitive to the crisis. Public budgets show a larger negative difference in revenue dynamics during the crisis than private budgets. The burden on the state budget consists of lower tax revenues and discretionary fiscal policy during the crisis. The strong impact of the behavioural factor is demonstrated by the significant increase in the dynamics of household savings. Originality/value/implications/recommendations – The article presents the author’s assessment of the distribution of the burden of the effects of the crisis between public and private budgets.
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