太阳能光伏反弹对区域需求的影响

Nariman Mahdavi
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文通过检查安装屋顶光伏系统后的消费变化,量化了每小时太阳能光伏(PV)反弹效应。利用最近开发的方法,利用净需求和天气数据估计表后(BTM)总太阳能发电量,估算单个客户的每小时光伏回弹率。为了公平比较,光伏安装前的消费数据也调整为温度和占用率。然后,我们提出了一种简单的方法来计算澳大利亚全国电力市场(NEM)区域的累计小时光伏反弹率。结果表明,各区域PV反弹均存在上午和下午两个高峰。然而,从夏天到冬天,清晨的高峰已经转移到上午十点左右。平均而言,在屋顶光伏安装后的一年中,区域需求增长了20%。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Solar PV Rebound Effect on Regional Demand
This paper quantifies the hourly solar photovoltaics (PV) rebound effect by examining the changes in consumption after the installation of a rooftop PV system. The hourly PV rebound ratio of a single customer has been estimated by leveraging the recently developed method that estimates behind-the-meter (BTM) gross solar generation from the net demand and weather data. Pre-PV consumption data has been also adjusted to temperature and occupancy after the PV installation for a fair comparison. We then proposed a simple method to find the aggregated hourly PV rebound ratio of national electricity market (NEM) regions in Australia. The results indicate that both morning and afternoon peaks are present in PV rebound of all regions. The early morning peak, however, has been shifted to mid-morning when moving from summer to winter. On average, regional demand has been increased by 20% in the year following the rooftop PV installation.
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