核扩散和中心平衡:结构性情景

Mihai Zodian
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文综合前人的研究,旨在探讨美国和俄罗斯联邦之间的核平衡如何因扩散过程而改变。运用权力转移与理性威慑理论相结合的理论视角,绘制了几个情景。主要目标是通过改变权力分配的变量来发展一般的特征和趋势,并利用它们来发展一些场景。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
NUCLEAR PROLIFERATION AND THE CENTRAL BALANCE: STRUCTURAL SCENARIOS
This paper synthetizes earlier studies and aims to investigate how the nuclear equilibrium between the United States and the Russian Federation may change, because of the process of proliferation. A theoretical perspective combining power transition and rational deterrence theory is used to draw a few scenarios. The main goal is to develop general traits and tendencies, by varying the variable of power distribution and use them to develop a few scenarios.
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