投票站中的大卫和歌利亚:群体规模、投票权和选民投票率

Peter M. Boenisch, B. Geys, C. Michelsen
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引用次数: 2

摘要

本文分析了选民中占优势群体的存在如何影响选民投票率。从理论上讲,我们认为主导群体的绝对规模和相对权力都会影响选民的决策过程。前一种效应来自于搭便车的动机增加和在一个较大的主导群体中投票的社会压力减少,而后一种效应是由主导群体和被主导群体对群体之间的选举竞争的工具性和表达性反应驱动的。我们对德国各市的大量横截面进行实证分析,证实了主导群体的绝对规模和相对规模对选民投票率的共同重要性。因此,在通过例如市政合并或不公正地划分选区等方式重新设计选举管辖权时,应考虑到这种影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
David and Goliath in the Poll Booth: Group Size, Voting Power and Voter Turnout
This article analyses how the presence of a dominant group of voters within the electorate affects voter turnout. Theoretically, we argue that both the absolute size and the relative power of a dominant group influence voters' decision-making process. The former effect derives from increased free-riding incentives and reduced social pressure to vote within a larger dominant group, while the latter effect is driven by instrumental and expressive responses-in both the dominant and dominated groups-to electoral competition between groups. Our empirical analysis of a large cross-section of German municipalities confirms this joint importance of a dominant group's absolute and relative size for voter turnout. Such effects should thus be taken into account when redesigning electoral jurisdictions through, for instance, municipal mergers or gerrymandering.
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