多样性对能源系统弹性的贡献——文献综述

Pablo Thier, Cécile Pot d’or
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引用次数: 1

摘要

近几十年来,弹性的概念越来越受到不同领域研究界的关注。在我们的理解中,弹性是一个(社会技术)系统在压力和动荡条件下维持其服务的能力。我们指出,某些设计原则和系统元素,例如“多样性”对弹性系统设计的贡献比其他设计原则和系统元素更大。本综述选取了40多篇关于弹性增强能源系统多样性能力的论文,采用以下研究问题对其进行了分析:1)能源系统的哪些组成部分需要多样化以增加其弹性?2)如何使这些组成部分多样化,这在多大程度上是有利的?3)多样化在多大程度上有助于系统准备应对未知威胁?文献综述表明,当能源系统多样化时,哪些要素应该优先考虑,例如发电,燃料供应,这是一个共识。此外,能源系统的可靠性工程已经为社区所知。另一个问题是,什么程度的多样性是有利的;没有达成共识,也没有找到具体的设计说明。因此,我们得出结论,为能源系统和社会技术系统找到适当程度的多样性,并解释它如何有助于克服未知威胁,这仍然是一个开放的研究问题。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Contribution of Diversity to the Resilience of Energy Systems – A literature Review
The concept of resilience has attracted an increasing attention of the research community in different fields within the last decades. In our understanding, resilience is a (socio-technical) system’s ability to maintain its services under stress and in turbulent conditions. We state that certain design principles and system elements, e.g. ‘diversity’ contribute more strongly to a resilient system design than others. For this review, more than 40 publications regarding the resilience enhancing capabilities of diversity in energy systems, were analyzed using the following research questions: 1) Which components of an energy system need to be diversified in order to increase its resilience? 2) How can these components be diversified and to what degree is that favorable? 3) To what extent does diversification contribute to preparing the system against unknown threats? The literature review showed that there is an agreement about which elements should be prioritized when diversifying energy systems, e.g. generation, fuel supply. Also diversity is already known to the community from reliability engineering of energy systems. On the other question, as to what degree of diversity is favorable; no consensus and no concrete design instructions were found. Hence, we conclude that, it remains an open research question to find the proper degree of diversity for energy systems and socio-technical systems, and to explain how it contributes to overcoming unknown threats.
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