天然气市场能否实现LNG套利?

Y. Yegorov, Jalal Dehnavi
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引用次数: 7

摘要

在过去几年中,天然气市场的动态包括液化天然气在天然气贸易中的作用增强,现货市场的作用日益增强,国家天然气市场的放松管制,自由化和竞争。合同目的地条款日益灵活,创造了新的国际套利机会。然而,技术、合同和市场限制、液化天然气质量差异、运输能力限制和高运输成本是液化天然气市场套利者最重要的障碍。本文研究了LNG套利的主要障碍及其成本。利用不同区域市场天然气价格的时间序列,我们展示了三个主要枢纽之间套利的可能程度,并讨论了为什么市场没有趋同于唯一的全球天然气价格。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Is LNG Arbitrage Possible in Natural Gas Market?
The dynamics of markets for natural gas during the last years included the higher role of LNG in gas trade, the growing role of spot markets, deregulation, liberalization and competition in national gas markets. Rising flexibility in contracts’ destination clauses created new international arbitrage opportunities. However, technical, contractual and market restrictions, difference in LNG qualities, shipping capacity limitation and high transportation costs are the most important barriers for an arbitrageur in LNG market. This paper studies the main barriers for LNG arbitrage and its cost. Using the time series for natural gas prices in different regional markets, we show to what extent arbitrage between three main hubs was possible, and discuss why the markets do not converge to unique world price for natural gas.
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