财务困难预测模型(以印尼证券交易所房地产上市公司为研究对象)

Maya Citra
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究的目的是使用Altman Z-Score和Zmijewski X-Score模型识别和预测2018-2020年期间在印度尼西亚证券交易所(IDX)上市的房地产和房地产公司的财务困难。这种类型的研究是定量方法的描述性研究。所使用的数据是公司财务报表形式的二手数据。结果表明,基于Altman模型(Z-Score), 2018年有3家企业处于安全区,6家企业处于灰色区,13家企业处于困境区。而在2019年,有4家公司处于安全区,4家公司处于灰色地带,14家公司处于困境区。到2020年,有2家公司处于安全地带,6家公司处于灰色地带,14家公司处于危险地带。而基于Zmijewski模型(X-Score)的研究结果显示,2018年有21家公司处于安全区,1家公司处于困境区。而在2019年,所有公司都处于安全区,最后在2020年,有20家公司处于安全区,2家公司处于困境区。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Financial Difficulty Prediction Model (Study on Property and Real Estate Companies Listed on the Indonesian Stock Exchange)
The purpose of this study is to identify and predict the occurrence of financial difficulties using the Altman Z-Score and Zmijewski X-Score models in property and real estate companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) for the 2018-2020 period. This type of research is descriptive research with a quantitative approach. The data used is secondary data in the form of company financial statements. The results showed that based on the Altman model (Z-Score) in 2018 there were 3 companies in the safe zone, 6 companies in the grey zone, and 13 companies in the distress zone. While in 2019 there were 4 companies in the safe zone, 4 companies in the grey zone, and 14 companies in the distress zone. And in 2020 there are 2 companies in the safe zone, 6 companies in the grey zone, and 14 companies in the distress zone. While the results of the study based on the Zmijewski model (X-Score) show that in 2018 there were 21 companies in the safe zone and 1 company in the distress zone. While in 2019 all companies were in the safe zone, lastly in 2020 there were 20 companies in the safe zone, and 2 companies in the distress zone.
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