尼日利亚的金融部门发展和经济增长

Omiete Victoria Olulu- Briggs, Titi Sunday- Goya
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摘要

本研究探讨金融部门发展对尼日利亚经济增长的影响。它使用1986年至2021年的年度系列数据,并来自尼日利亚中央银行的数据库,研究了金融准入、金融深度、金融稳定性和金融效率如何影响尼日利亚的国内生产总值。采用描述性、单位根、协整和简约误差校正以及格兰杰因果关系检验,置信水平为95%。由分析可知,所有变量都以1阶积分;并提出了长期协整。简约误差修正模型证实,金融准入和金融深度对国内生产总值(gdp)都是正的且显著的,而金融稳定性和效率对国内生产总值(gdp)都是正的但不显著的。格兰杰因果关系检验表明,金融深度与国内生产总值之间存在单向关系,金融深度与国内生产总值之间存在双向因果关系。综上所述,尼日利亚金融业的扩张对其经济增长产生了重大影响。因此,该研究建议,金融机构应继续以信贷形式向私营部门分配更多资金,以刺激经济的更多增长前景。此外,应该提高支付给存款人的利率,以吸引更多的存款;与此同时,降低企业贷款和预付款的利率,以鼓励投资者借入资金,投资于能够加速增长的有利可图的企业。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Financial Sector Development and Economic Growth in Nigeria
This study investigates the influence of financial sector development on the economic growth of Nigeria. It examines how financial access, financial depth, financial stability, and financial efficiency affect Nigeria's gross domestic product using annual series data from 1986 to 2021, and sourced from the Central Bank of Nigeria data bank. The descriptive, unit root, co-integration and Parsimonious error correction as well as the Granger Causality test were adopted at the 95% confidence level. From the analysis, all variables are integrated at order one; and presented of long-run cointegration. The Parsimonious error correction model confirmed that financial access and its depth are both positive and significant to gross domestic product, whereas financial stability and efficiency are both positive but insignificant to gross domestic product. The Granger causality test demonstrated a one-way movement from to gross domestic product to financial access, and a two-way causality between financial depth and gross domestic product only. In conclusion, the expansion of Nigeria's financial industry has a substantial impact on the growth of her economy. The study thus suggests that financial institutions should continue to allocate more funds to the private sector in the form of credit in order to stimulate more growth prospects in the economy. In addition, interest rates paid to depositors should be improved to attract more deposits; while simultaneously cutting back the rate charged on business loans and advances in order to encourage investors to borrow funds and invest in profitable ventures that will quicken growth.
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