空间自回归的间接推理

IF 2.9 4区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS
Maria Kyriacou, Peter C. B. Phillips, Francesca Rossi
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引用次数: 20

摘要

在纯空间自回归(SAR)中,普通最小二乘(OLS)会产生空间参数的不一致估计。在本文中,我们探讨了间接推理的潜力,以纠正OLS的不一致性。在广义条件下,基于OLS的间接推断(II)在纯SAR回归中产生一致的渐近正态估计。这里使用的II估计器对偏离正态干扰具有鲁棒性,并且与准极大似然(QML)相比计算简单。基于权重矩阵的各种规格的蒙特卡罗实验表明:(a)即使在非常小的样本中,II估计器也显示出很小的偏差,并且在某些情况下提高方差的同时给出与QML相当的总体性能;(b) II应用于QML也具有良好的有限样本性质;(c) II在存在重尾误差分布时表现出鲁棒性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Indirect inference in spatial autoregression

Ordinary least-squares (OLS) is well known to produce an inconsistent estimator of the spatial parameter in pure spatial autoregression (SAR). In this paper, we explore the potential of indirect inference to correct the inconsistency of OLS. Under broad conditions, it is shown that indirect inference (II) based on OLS produces consistent and asymptotically normal estimates in pure SAR regression. The II estimator used here is robust to departures from normal disturbances and is computationally straightforward compared with quasi-maximum likelihood (QML). Monte Carlo experiments based on various specifications of the weight matrix show that: (a) the II estimator displays little bias even in very small samples and gives overall performance that is comparable to the QML while raising variance in some cases; (b) II applied to QML also enjoys good finite sample properties; and (c) II shows robust performance in the presence of heavy-tailed error distributions.

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来源期刊
Econometrics Journal
Econometrics Journal 管理科学-数学跨学科应用
CiteScore
4.20
自引率
5.30%
发文量
25
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: The Econometrics Journal was established in 1998 by the Royal Economic Society with the aim of creating a top international field journal for the publication of econometric research with a standard of intellectual rigour and academic standing similar to those of the pre-existing top field journals in econometrics. The Econometrics Journal is committed to publishing first-class papers in macro-, micro- and financial econometrics. It is a general journal for econometric research open to all areas of econometrics, whether applied, computational, methodological or theoretical contributions.
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