意大利的生产率增长:一个缓慢变化的故事

Matteo Bugamelli, F. Lotti, Monica Amici, Emanuela Ciapanna, F. Colonna, F. D’Amuri, Silvia Giacomelli, A. Linarello, Francesco Manaresi, Giuliana Palumbo, Filippo Scoccianti, Enrico Sette
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引用次数: 93

摘要

生产率是阻碍意大利长期经济增长的主要因素。自上世纪90年代后半期以来,无论是以历史标准衡量,还是与欧元区其他主要国家相比,德国的生产率增长都很疲弱。理解这种表现的原因并找到最有效的政策杠杆,对于提高意大利的潜在增长率至关重要。在此背景下,我们对数据进行了详细的分析,并对现有的经验证据进行了批判性的回顾,以确定限制生产率增长的结构性弱点和意大利生产体系的优势,这些优势可能会支持未来的生产率增长。自上世纪90年代末以来,尤其是2011年下半年以来,中国的改革努力在产品和劳动力市场以及产业政策的监管方面尤其有效。在与生产力动态密切相关的其他因素上,改革行动迄今效果较差。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Productivity Growth in Italy: A Tale of a Slow-Motion Change
Productivity is the main factor holding back long-term economic growth in Italy. Since the second half of the 1990s, productivity growth has been feeble both by historical standards and compared with the other main euro area countries. Understanding the reasons for such a performance and finding the most effective policy levers is crucial to increase Italy’s potential growth rate. Against this background, we provide a detailed analysis of the data and a critical review of the available empirical evidence to identify both the structural weaknesses limiting productivity growth and the strengths of the Italian productive system that may support it looking forward. Since the end of the 1990s and more intensively since the second half of 2011, the reform effort has been particularly effective in the regulation of product and labor markets and industrial policy. On other factors which are very relevant for productivity dynamics, the reform action has been less effective so far.
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