{"title":"公共债务与经济增长动态","authors":"Alfred Greiner","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.1601902","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"We analyze effects of public debt on economic growth and its dynamics in a basic endogenous growth assuming that the history of debt affects the primary surplus of the government. The economy with a balanced government budget is characterized by a unique balanced growth path and a condition for saddle point stability is derived. With permanent public deficits there is either no balanced growth path, a unique balanced growth path or there exist two balanced growth paths. The balanced growth path is either stable or unstable. Further, the system may undergo a Hopf bifurcation leading to stable limit cycles.","PeriodicalId":381706,"journal":{"name":"Bielefeld Working Papers in Economics & Management","volume":"25 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2010-05-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"16","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Public Debt and the Dynamics of Economic Growth\",\"authors\":\"Alfred Greiner\",\"doi\":\"10.2139/ssrn.1601902\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"We analyze effects of public debt on economic growth and its dynamics in a basic endogenous growth assuming that the history of debt affects the primary surplus of the government. The economy with a balanced government budget is characterized by a unique balanced growth path and a condition for saddle point stability is derived. With permanent public deficits there is either no balanced growth path, a unique balanced growth path or there exist two balanced growth paths. The balanced growth path is either stable or unstable. Further, the system may undergo a Hopf bifurcation leading to stable limit cycles.\",\"PeriodicalId\":381706,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Bielefeld Working Papers in Economics & Management\",\"volume\":\"25 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2010-05-07\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"16\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Bielefeld Working Papers in Economics & Management\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1601902\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Bielefeld Working Papers in Economics & Management","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1601902","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
We analyze effects of public debt on economic growth and its dynamics in a basic endogenous growth assuming that the history of debt affects the primary surplus of the government. The economy with a balanced government budget is characterized by a unique balanced growth path and a condition for saddle point stability is derived. With permanent public deficits there is either no balanced growth path, a unique balanced growth path or there exist two balanced growth paths. The balanced growth path is either stable or unstable. Further, the system may undergo a Hopf bifurcation leading to stable limit cycles.