区域关键基础设施安全与弹性理论研究

A. Masloboev
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引用次数: 0

摘要

. 背景。这项工作的目的是在关键基础设施安全和恢复力(CISR)管理和区域社会经济系统CISR研究系统化的综合方法设计的背景下,研究复杂系统安全发展的现代理论。区域层面CISR支持对控制操作人员和手段的要求不断提高,以及基于情景中心网络的区域安全管理系统的完善需求,决定了本研究的紧迫性。研究的目的是发展该地区CISR管理的理论和组织技术基础,并分析国外在这一领域的经验。材料和方法。该研究以俄罗斯北极地区摩尔曼斯克地区的关键基础设施为例进行。考虑了区域社会经济系统的三个关键CISR领域(维度):技术,组织和社会弹性。研究的方法论基础包括系统论、概念建模、收敛控制理论、可靠性理论、风险分析、安全与稳定理论等方法。结果和结论。概述了CISR管理领域的最新研究成果,并分析了适用于社会经济系统关键对象在决策源信息不确定和不完整的条件下解决问题以及某些弹性方面的现有模型和方法。针对关键基础设施综合安全领域的各种相关应用,提出了相应的模型和方法。以区域安全与社会复原力管理支持系统研发为例,提出了在关键基础设施运行风险评估与分析中,保护关键基础设施对象免受自然和人为突发事件影响,以及考虑人为因素影响的建议。与国外研究相比,国内研究的显著特点是对所研究的社会经济系统和过程的弹性和安全性的观点。区域CISR管理的编队支持系统工程、多层次分布式安全系统分散控制协调方法、基于多智能体方法的管理决策过程虚拟化技术、复杂系统动态模型概念综合方法、智能网络物理系统实现机制等。统一工具库中指定工具包的集成将通过驱动设计提供充分的整体方法方法,用于工程和实施适用于区域CISR管理问题解决的信息和分析支持工具。基于概念、系统动态和多主体模型和决策信息支持方法的组合和伙伴关系,拟议的控制、预防和分析区域CISR的背景和开发方法提供:所讨论的问题领域的进一步研究和发展将为解决区域、国家和更高一级与CISR联机控制、预防、战略规划和信息支助有关的一系列具体的基本和应用问题提供广泛的机会。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
TOWARDS A THEORY OF REGIONAL CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE SECURITY AND RESILIENCE
. Background . The work is aimed at modern theory of complex system security development in the context of an integrated methodology design for critical infrastructure security and resilience (CISR) management and CISR research systematization of regional socio-economic systems. The urgency of the study is condi-tioned by rising requirements for control operators and means for the purpose of CISR support at the regional level and the need to improve the regional security management system engineered on the basis of situational center network. The objective of research is to develop the theoretical and organizational-technical foundations of CISR management of the region as well as to analyze foreign experience in this field. Materials and methods . The research is carried out by the example of critical infrastructures of the Murmansk region, which is a part of the Russian Arctic. Three key CISR domains (dimen-sions) of regional socio-economic systems are considered: technological, organizational and societal resilience. The methodological base of the study includes systems approach, conceptual modeling, and convergence of control theory, reliability theory, risk analysis, safety and stability theory methods. Results and conclusions . An overview of the state-of-the-art research in the field of CISR management and an analysis of the existing models and methods applicability to problem-solving well as certain resilience aspects of socio-economic system critical objects in conditions of the uncertainty and incompleteness of source information for decision-making. Appropriate models and methods are proposed for various relevant applications in the field of comprehensive security of critical infrastructures. The recommendations for safeguarding of the critical infrastructure objects from the natural and anthropogenic emergency situations, as well as for taking into account the impact of human factor within the risk assessment and analysis of critical infrastructure functioning by the example of system research and development of the regional security and social resilience management support, are given. The distinctive feature of domestic studies as compared with foreign research is the point of view on resilience and security of the socio-economic systems and processes studied. formation support system engineering for management of regional CISR, methods for decentralized control coordination in multi-level distributed safety systems, managerial decision-making processes virtualization technologies based on multi-agent approach, methodology for dynamic model conceptual synthesis of complex systems, implementation mechanisms of intelligent cyber-physical systems, etc. The integration of specified toolkit within the unified instrumental base will provide through-driven design of the sufficient holistic methodological approach to engineering and implementation of information and analytical support tools appropriated to regional CISR management problem-solving. The proposed background and developed methodology to control, prevention and analysis of regional CISR based on combination and partnering of conceptual, system-dynamic and multi-agent models and methods for decision-making information support provide: Further research and developments in the problem domain discussed upon will provide wide opportunities to solve a whole range of specific fundamental and applied problems related to CISR on-line control, prevention, strategic planning and information support both at regional, national and higher levels.
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