制裁对俄罗斯技术主权的影响

S. Shkodinsky, A. M. Kushnir, I. A. Prodchenko
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引用次数: 9

摘要

本文分析了制裁对俄罗斯技术主权的影响,并提出了消除其破坏性影响的建议。在准备研究的理论部分时,作者使用了一些经验组的一般科学方法(观察,比较,测量,分析和综合,逻辑推理),在实际中-具体的科学方法(静态分析,专家评价)。在编制关于减轻制裁的破坏性影响的建议时,使用了情景分析和预见的方法。作者得出以下结论:1)在现有的公共统计制度下,不可能评估实施制裁的影响的真实规模,因为关于若干商品(服务)的数据是封闭的;2)迄今为止,至少在公共领域,没有采取任何形式收集有关制裁对商业影响的统计数据;3)在分析的2014年至2022年第一季度期间,制裁的目标有所增加,所谓的部门制裁占主导地位,旨在全面影响俄罗斯国民经济最重要的部门:能源,石油和天然气生产,军事工业综合体,农业工业综合体;克服对高科技工业制裁的影响主要与形成自己的技术的额外费用和培训(再培训)专家在新条件下工作的需要有关,这自然减缓了企业的创新活动。研究结果可用于培养数字经济下公共管理的学术能力,以及在外交政策矛盾不断升级、工业4.0形式的社会经济体系运行受到越来越多威胁的背景下,形成企业对外经济活动管理的专业能力。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The impact of sanctions on Russia's technological sovereignty
The article presents an analysis of the impact of sanctions on the technological sovereignty of Russia and proposals for leveling their destructive impact. In preparing the theoretical section of the research the authors used a number of general scientific methods of the empirical group (observation, comparison, measurement, analysis and synthesis, logical reasoning), in the practical – specific scientific methods (static analysis, expert evaluations). In preparing proposals for the leveling of the destructive impact of sanctions, the methods of scenario analysis and Foresight were used. The authors made the following conclusions: 1) it is impossible to assess the true scale of the impact of the imposed sanctions under the existing system of public statistics, because the data on a number of goods (services) are closed; 2) to date, at least in the public field, no form of statistical data collection on the impact of sanctions on business has been introduced; 3) in the analyzed period from 2014 to the first quarter of 2022, there is an increase in the targeting of sanctions and the dominance of so-called sectoral sanctions aimed at a comprehensive impact on the most important sectors for the national economy of Russia: energy, oil and gas production, military-industrial complex, agro-industrial complex; 4) overcoming the impact of sanctions of high-tech industries is primarily associated with additional costs for the formation of their own technologies and the need to train (retrain) specialists to work in new conditions, which naturally slows down the innovative activity of business. The results of the study can be used to develop academic competencies in public administration in the digital economy, as well as to form professional competencies in the management of foreign economic activity of business in the context of escalating foreign policy contradictions and increasing threats to the functioning of the socio-economic system of Industry 4.0 format.
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