基于回归分析的中国城镇居民消费计量分析

Ying Zhong, Jiawei Yao, Yan Xu, Zhirui Zhou, Yuqing Xiao, Qiyu Gu
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摘要

基于影响中国居民消费的主要因素,本文分析了城镇居民人均可支配收入、税收和GDP对中国居民消费的影响机制。运用回归分析、经济显著性检验、统计检验、计量检验(多重共线性、自相关、异方差),并通过相关修正,确定最终模型,得出最终结论:居民可支配收入和农村居民可支配收入对消费具有显著的正向影响,并给出相关政策建议。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Econometric Analysis of Chinese Urban Residents' Consumption Based on Regression Analysis
Based on the main factors affecting the consumption of Chinese residents, this paper analyzes the mechanism of the influence of per capita disposable income, tax and GDP of urban residents on the consumption of Chinese residents. It uses regression analysis, economic significance test, statistical test, econometric test (multicollinearity, autocorrelation, heteroscedasticity), and through relevant correction, the final model is determined, and the final conclusion is obtained The disposable income of the people and the disposable income of rural residents have a significant positive impact on consumption, and the relevant policy recommendations are given.
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