国家外部资产负债表的地理构成:1980-2005

Chris Kubelec, F. Sá
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引用次数: 120

摘要

本文构建了包括发达国家和新兴经济体在内的18个国家的双边外部资产和负债存量数据集。该数据集涵盖1980年至2005年,并区分了四种资产类别:外国直接投资、股票组合、债务和外汇储备。从中产生了许多程式化的事实。在过去的二十年里,互联性有了显著的提高。金融联系变得更大、更频繁,各国变得更加开放。全球金融网络以少数节点为中心,这些节点又多又大。此外,该网络表现出“小世界”特性,如高聚类和低平均路径长度。高互连性、少量集线器和“小世界”特性的结合构成了一个健壮但脆弱的系统,在这个系统中,对关键集线器的干扰将迅速而广泛地传播。全球金融网络以美国和英国为中心,这两个国家有很大的联系,并与大多数其他国家相连。这与全球贸易网络形成鲜明对比,后者被安排在三个集群中:欧洲集群(以德国为中心),亚洲集群(以中国为中心)和美国集群(以美国为中心)。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Geographical Composition of National External Balance Sheets: 1980-2005
This paper constructs a data set on stocks of bilateral external assets and liabilities for a group of 18 countries, including developed and emerging economies. The data set covers the years 1980 to 2005 and distinguishes between four asset classes: foreign direct investment, portfolio equity, debt, and foreign exchange reserves. A number of stylised facts emerge from it. There has been a remarkable increase in interconnectivity over the past two decades. Financial links have become larger and more frequent and countries have become more open. The global financial network is centred around a small number of nodes, which have many and large links. In addition, the network exhibits ‘small-world’ properties, such as high clustering and low average path length. The combination of high interconnectivity, a small number of hubs, and ‘small-world’ properties makes for a robust-yet-fragile system, in which disturbances to the key hubs would be rapidly and widely transmitted. The global financial network is centred around the United States and the United Kingdom, which have large links and are connected to most other countries. This contrasts with the global trade network, which is arranged in three clusters: a European cluster (centred on Germany), an Asian cluster (centred on China), and an American cluster (centred on the United States).
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