喀麦隆COVID-19疫情早期应对的成本和收益:伤残调整生命年、治疗费用和劳动力供应损失

Bertila Mayin Kinga, P. Munteh, M. Wilfred
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引用次数: 1

摘要

COVID-19对我们的日常生活产生了多重影响,并导致了今天所谓的冠状病毒经济衰退的全面衰退。由于2019/20冠状病毒大流行,这是2020年全球经济的经济衰退(Schwartz, 2020)。COVID-19的发展轨迹高度不确定。变量包括病毒爆发需要多长时间,有多少人会被感染,有多少人会死亡,以及病毒是否会显著传播(Zandi et al, 2020)。因此,有必要进行研究,分析早期应对这一流行病的详细成本和效益。这项工作旨在利用DALYs、医疗支出和劳动力供应损失来计算喀麦隆COVID-19疫情早期应对的成本和收益。为此,从公共卫生部关于COVID-19情况的定期报告和2015年发表的全球疾病负担报告中收集了二级数据。使用Shutterstock(2020)中使用的标准公式对数据进行分析,以计算DALY,而使用百分比,代数和其他描述性统计工具(如图表)来呈现研究结果。结果喀麦隆疫情爆发后1个月、2个月、3个月和14916例病例分别为658例、2265例、7599例和14916例。结果进一步显示,在发病1、2、3和4个月后,人均“健康”寿命损失年为16.37年,dalys为10771.46年,dalys为37078.05年,dalys为124395.6年,dalys为244174.9年。所有患者在2020年3月COVID - 19发病后1个月、2个月、3个月和4个月的医疗费用分别为263.2万、9060万、303.96亿和596.64亿FCFA。最后,在喀麦隆发生COVID - 19后的1个月、2个月、3个月和4个月,所有患者分别损失了105,280、362,400、1215840和2386560小时的劳动时间。因此,本研究得出结论,COVID-19给患者和政府带来了巨大的成本,及时干预将带来巨大的收益。它建议严格遵守根据世卫组织指南修改的政府预防措施。这将减轻COVID - 19对喀麦隆的经济影响,从而防止经济陷入衰退。关键词:Covid-19,成本、效益与干预,喀麦隆,DALY,经济,衰退
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Costs and benefits of early response in the COVID-19 outbreak in Cameroon: DALYs, treatment cost and labour supply lost
COVID-19 has had multiple effects on our daily lives and led to a general recession of what is today known as the Coronavirus recession. This is an  economic recession across the world economy in 2020 due to the 2019/20 coronavirus pandemic (Schwartz, 2020).The trajectory of COVID-19 is  highly uncertain. Variables include how long it will take for the virus to play out, how many people will be infected, how many will die, and whether the virus will spread significantly( Zandi et al, 2020). There is thus a need for studies to analyze the detail cost and benefit of an early response to  this pandemic. This work sets out to calculate the costs and benefits of early response in the COVID-19 outbreak in Cameroon using DALYs, healthcare expenditure and labour supply lost. In order to do this, secondary data was collected from the Ministry of Public Health periodic reports on the COVID-19 situation and from the global disease burden report published in 2015. Data were analyzed using standard formula as used in Shutterstock, (2020) to calculate DALY, while percentages, algebra and other descriptive statistical tools like charts were used to present findings. Results showed that Cameroon had 658, 2265, 7599 and 14,916 cases one, two, three and months respectively after the outbreak. Results further show a 16.37 loss years of “healthy” life per person and a total of 10771.46DALYs, 37078.05DALYs, 124,395.6DALYs and 244,174.9DALYs after one, two, three and four months of onset. Health care expenditure for all patients stood at 2.632M, 9.060M, 30,396M and 59,664M FCFA for one, two, three and four months respectively after onset COVID 19 6 of March 2020. Lastly, all patients in total lost 105,280, 362,400, 1215840 and 2386560 hours of labour one, two, three and four months respectively after the onset of COVID 19 in Cameroon. This study thus concludes that COVID-19 has enormous cost to patients and government and a timely intervention will lead to great benefits. It recommends strict adherence to government’s preventive measures modified from the WHO guide. This will lessen the economic consequences of COVID 19 in Cameroon thus preventing the Economy from sinking into a recession. Key words : Covid-19, Cost, benefit and Intervention, Cameroon, DALY, economic, Recession
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