利用聚类分析对国家类型在粮食和能源自给率方面的分类

Kiuk Han, Donghwan An, Kwansoo Kim
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摘要

这项研究的目的是对世界上115个国家在粮食和能源自给率及其增长模式方面的转型路径进行分类和调查。这项研究的重点是选定国家的粮食和能源自给率和主要经济变量(例如消费者价格指数、教育)。采用聚类分析对粮食和能源自给率的国家类型和过渡路径进行分类。我们确定了以下5类:"能源自给自足程度高的国家"、"经济波动较大的国家"、"低生产率国家"、"粮食和能源自给程度低的高生产率国家"和"粮食自给程度高的高生产率国家"。结论是,从1971年至1990年,第2类(经济波动大)包括大多数粮食自给自足程度高的国家。然而,第2类国家的特征在1991 - 2011年间转变为能源高度自给自足的国家。此外,研究结果表明,与能源安全相比,粮食安全正在恶化。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A Classification of Country Types with respect to Food and Energy Self-Sufficiency Rates by Using Cluster Analysis
The objective of this study is to classify and to investigate transition paths of 115 countries in the world with respect to food and energy self-sufficiency rates as well as their growth patterns. This study focuses on food and energy self-sufficiency rates and major economic variables (e.g., consumer price index, education) of the selected countries. Cluster analysis is used to classify country types and transition paths of food and energy self-sufficiency rates. We identify the following 5 groups: “High energy self-sufficiency countries”, “High economic fluctuation countries”, “Low productivity countries”, “High productivity countries with low food and energy self-sufficiency”, and “High productivity countries with high food self-sufficiency”. It was concluded that the type 2 group (= high economic fluctuation) contained most of the high food self-sufficiency countries from 1971 to 1990. However, the characteristics of the type 2 group changed into high energy self-sufficiency countries from 1991 to 2011. Also, the results identify that the food security is getting worse compared to the energy security.
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