计划E:二十一世纪纠缠安全和超级威胁时代的大战略

Elizabeth G. Boulton
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引用次数: 3

摘要

摘要:一项跨学科研究项目探讨了将气候与环境变化(CEC)定义为一种新型威胁:超级威胁的想法。传统的军事分析方法用于评估高度威胁及其背景,并就如何构思适当的反应提出想法。这种方法与先前的文献和长期的地缘政治论述形成对比,后者确定了采取证券化方法的风险。相反,作者认为,现在不将CEC纳入主流地缘政治和民族国家安全战略的风险更大。当我们将CEC的超级威胁作为主要威胁加以遏制,并分析其与其他威胁的关系时,就会出现令人吃惊的稳定新途径。该研究开发了一种名为“纠缠安全”的新理论方法,以发展最初的新“大叙事”和“大战略”(PLAN E)。本文提供了如何重新构想军事理论以支持新的政策方向和安全优先事项的愿景。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Plan E: A Grand Strategy for the Twenty-first Century Era of Entangled Security and Hyperthreats
Abstract:A transdisciplinary research project investigated the idea of framing climate and environmental change (CEC) as a new type of threat: a hyperthreat. Traditional military analytical methods were used to assess the hyperthreat and its context and develop ideas about how an adequate response could be conceived. This approach contrasts to prior literature and longstanding geopolitical discourse that identify the risks of taking a securitization approach. Instead, the author argues that it is now riskier not to consider CEC within a mainstream geopolitical and nation-state security strategy. When the hyperthreat of CEC is centered as the main threat to be contained, and its relationship to other threats is analyzed, startling new pathways to stability emerge. The research developed a new theoretical approach called "entangled security" to develop an initial new "grand narrative" and "grand strategy" (PLAN E). This article offers a vision of how military theory can be reimagined to support new policy directions and security priorities.
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