交通预测在缓解交通拥堵中的作用

Zheng Zhao, Zhenxing Han, Changchen Zhao, Yixin Zhang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

交通预测技术可以用来指导人们的出行,为了达到更高的预测精度,人们进行了很多研究。如果交通预测结果能够及时传达给所有出行者,个人的出行计划也可能发生相应的变化,从而影响路网的交通状态。本文考虑决策模型、循环因果模型和博弈过程,分析了交通预测在缓解交通拥堵中的作用。仿真结果证明了交通预测结果的共享机制是非常重要的,同时也发现利用交通预测缓解交通拥堵的效果有限。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Function of Traffic Prediction in Alleviating Traffic Congestion
Traffic prediction technique can be used to guide people's travel, and there are many researches have been conducted to achieve a higher prediction accuracy. If the traffic prediction result can be timely conveyed to all travelers, personal travel plan may also change accordingly, thus to influence the traffic state of the road network. This paper considers decision-making model, cyclic causal model, and game process, and analyzes the function of traffic prediction in alleviating traffic congestion. Simulation results prove that the sharing mechanism of traffic forecast results is very important, meanwhile, a limited effect can be also found when using traffic prediction to alleviate traffic congestion.
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