基于改进LSTM深度学习的混凝土坝变形预测方法

W. Li, Yifan Tan, Li-fu Xu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

变形量是混凝土大坝最直观、最可靠的监测量,能实时全面反映大坝的使用性能。通过构建实时预测模型,对水利工程运行中变形异常的识别和响应具有重要的指导意义。本文将长短期记忆神经网络(LSTM)深度学习算法与注意机制相结合,构建混凝土坝的变形预测模型。工程实例表明,考虑注意机制的LSTM模型的MSE为0.69,MAE为0.67。与逐步回归模型、递归神经网络模型(RNN)和不考虑注意机制的LSTM模型相比,误差减小。LSTM可以更好地挖掘变形序列中的长期和短期依赖关系,利用注意机制影响各因素之间的全局和局部关系,突出主要因素对变形的贡献。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Concrete dam deformation prediction method based on improved LSTM deep learning
As the most intuitive and reliable monitoring quantity of concrete dams, deformation can comprehensively reflect the service performance of dams in real time. By constructing a real-time prediction model, it has important guiding significance for the identification and response of deformation anomalies in the operation of water conservancy projects. In this paper, a deep learning algorithm: long-term and short-term memory neural network (LSTM), combined with attention mechanism, is used to construct the deformation prediction model of concrete dam. Through engineering examples, the MSE of LSTM model with attention mechanism is 0.69, and the MAE is 0.67. Compared with the stepwise regression model, the recurrent neural network model (RNN) and the LSTM model without attention mechanism, the errors are reduced. LSTM can better mine the long-term and short-term dependencies in deformation sequences, and use the attention mechanism to influence the global and local relationships between factors, highlighting the contribution of main factors to deformation.
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