国家和跨国非国家行为体:中巴经济走廊的战略维度和地区安全威胁

Asif Salim, Sonia Ambreen, A. Shah
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摘要

中巴经济走廊(CPEC)是中国在“一带一路”倡议下发起的广泛和最先进的发展计划的“旗舰项目”。该项目涉及多个领域的投资和基础设施建设,在巴基斯坦投资620亿美元。然而,存在的事实是,该项目不仅限于经济增长和贸易联系。它有更多的战略维度,可以说是中国手中的战略工具,以指数方式增加其从南中国海到印度洋和阿拉伯海的影响力。毫无疑问,它正在迅速改变整个区域机构,特别是南亚。一方面,这一变化不仅为巴基斯坦创造了多重机会,同时也为地区国家提供了奖励,但另一方面,针对中巴经济走廊的安全威胁和不对称宣传正在上升。在这一设想中被忽视的最重要方面是在巴基斯坦及其邻国秘密活动的非国家行为者的活动日益增加。ISIS、俾路支叛乱和TTP的存在是一个潜在的威胁,他们的密切联系和来自国内外的支持已经得到了充分的证明。因此,目前的研究分为两个部分。第一部分认为,中巴经济走廊项目无疑是一项以安全为导向、以地缘政治和战略为驱动的努力,但主要与经济增长和区域互联互通有关。第二部分讨论了国家和跨国非国家行为体对中巴经济走廊构成的潜在威胁。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
National and transnational non-state actors: Strategic dimensions and regional security threats to CPEC
China Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) is a ‘flagship Project’ of China’s wide-ranging and most advanced scheme of development initiated under the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). The project ranges from investment to infrastructure development in various sectors with an investment of $62 billion in Pakistan. However, the existential fact is that this project is not only restricted to economic growth and trade linkages. It has more strategic dimensions and arguably a strategic instrument in the hand of the Chinese to exponentially increase its influence from the South China Sea to the Indian Ocean and Arabian Sea. It is, undoubtedly, rapidly changing the regional apparatus in general and South Asia in Particular. This change on one side is creating space for multiple opportunities not only for Pakistan but at the same time offering bounties to regional countries, but on the other hand security threats and asymmetrical propaganda is on the rise against the CPEC. The most significant aspect which is being neglected in this scenario is the ever-increasing activities of non-state actors which are operating surreptitiously in Pakistan as well as its neighborhood. The presence of ISIS, Baloch insurgency, and TTP are a potential threat and their close nexus and support from inside and outside the country have substantially been proofed. Thus, the current research is divided into two parts. The first part argues that the CPEC project is no doubt a security-oriented, geopolitically, and strategically driven endeavor but predominantly linked with economic growth and regional connectivity. The second part deals with the potential threats to the CPEC posed by the national and transnational non-state actors. 
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