南苏丹军事干预、冲突解决与和平建设

G. Achot, Dut Bol Ayuel Bill
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摘要

这项研究调查了军事干预和解决冲突对索马里建设和平的作用。这项研究的目的是;考察军事干预对南苏丹建设和平的作用,评估南苏丹建设和平的冲突解决机制,考察南苏丹建设和平的预测因素,分析军事干预与建设和平之间的关系。描述性设计以朱巴县为例,采用定性和定量相结合的方法。研究人群为120220人。抽样方法为有目的的简单随机抽样。调整后的样本量为215名来自南苏丹赤道国雇员和受益人的受访者,回复率为66%。数据分析采用SPSS 20.0版本的描述性分析选项。本研究的主要发现是:军事干预与和平建设(r = 0.599, p值< 0.01);冲突解决和和平建设(r = 0.658, p值< 0.01)和回归值(0.660)作为军事干预和冲突解决的组合,在评估它们可以预测南苏丹和平建设水平的水平时,这些变量解释了和平建设方差的44% (r方=.43.5)。因子加载结果为正,方差分析结果显示所有人口统计学因素在变量上存在显著差异。该研究建议采取旨在建设和平的军事干预措施,直接关注如何打击武装冲突,特别是武装分子。更多地包容索马里政府以及地区和国际利益攸关方,对稳定南苏丹的努力至关重要。应从遏制武装冲突开始,通过各种渠道倡导军事干预和解决冲突战略,并应采用谈判、事实查明、促进和调解等替代性争端解决机制,因为它们有可能加强环境正义,因为它们允许各方对进程和结果享有自主权。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Military Intervention, Conflict Resolution and Peace Building in South Sudan
The study investigated role of military intervention and conflict resolution on Peace building in Somalia. The objectives of the study were to; examine the role of Military intervention on Peace building in South Sudan, assess the mechanisms of Conflict resolution on Peace building in South Sudan, examine the predictors of Peace building in South Sudan and to analyse the relationship between Military intervention and Peace building. The descriptive design using a case study of Juba County and both qualitative and quantitative approaches were used. The study population was 120,220. Sampling technique was purposive and simple random. And adjusted sample size was 215 respondents from the employees and beneficiaries of Equatorial State in South Sudan with a response rate was 66% was used. Data was analyzed using descriptive analysis option of SPSS version (20.0). The major findings of the study were that there is a significant positive correlation between; Military intervention and Peace building (r = 0.599, P-value < 0.01); Conflict resolution and Peace building (r = 0.658, P-value < 0.01) and a regression value of (0.660) as a combination of Military intervention and Conflict resolution in assessing the level to which they can predict the level of Peace building in South Sudan, the variables explained 44% of the variance of Peace building(R Square =.43.5).The factor loadings showed positive results and the ANOVA results showed significant differences of all the demographic factors on the variables. The study recommends for military Intervention aimed at peace building measures that directly focus on how to combat armed conflict especially the fighters, Greater inclusion of the Somali government as well as regional and international stakeholders is important for efforts to stabilize South Sudan, Military Intervention and Conflict resolution strategies should be advocated for through all channels right from curbing armed conflict and that alternative Dispute Resolution mechanisms such as negotiation, fact finding facilitation and mediation should be adopted since they have the potential to enhance environmental justice since they allow parties to enjoy autonomy over the process and outcome.
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