基于多种回归算法的维多利亚市电价预测

Sedat Orenc, Emrullah Acar, M. S. Özerdem
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引用次数: 0

摘要

准确的电价预测对于所有市场,特别是家庭生活状况来说都是非常重要的,因为需求越大,电价越高,因此保持供需平衡至关重要。知道未来需要多少电力是至关重要的,因为它对经济环境有显著的影响。本文提出了四种有效的预测方法,以获得高精度的预测结果。在回归算法中,主要采用了决策树回归、随机森林回归、梯度增强回归和线性回归等算法。数据集分为三个部分。训练、验证和测试分别分成% 70%、% 10%和% 20%。经验和有效的结果表明,这些方法是可行的,并且减少了误差。本文表明,可以为未来设计一种新的预测模型。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Electricity Price Prediction of Victoria City Based on Various Regression Algorithms
Precise electricity price prediction is extremely important for all markets especially for families' life conditions because the more demand the more electricity price increases, therefore it is vital to keep the balance between demand and supply. It is crucial to know how much electricity is needed for the future as it has a remarkable impact on economic circumstances. This article proposes four productive methods in order to forecast high-precision results. In the regression algorithms, it is used several methods which are called decision tree regressions, random forest regression, gradient boosting regression, and linear regression algorithms. The dataset is divided into three parts. Training, validation, and test are split into %70, %10, and %20 respectively. The empirical and efficient results show that these methods can be used and reduce errors. The article demonstrates that a novel forecasting model can be designed for the future.
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