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引用次数: 86
摘要
作者对世界贸易组织(wto)多哈发展议程(Doha Development Agenda),特别是通过农业贸易自由化,为寻求通过贸易摆脱贫困的低收入国家带来的机遇和挑战进行了经济评估。在讨论了贫困、经济增长和贸易之间的联系之后,他报告的模型结果显示,农产品市场仍然是世界贸易中所有商品市场扭曲中代价最高的。作者着重讨论了这种改革对参与或不参与多边贸易谈判的发展中国家可能意味着什么。显而易见的是,如果这些国家想从多哈回合中获得最大的利益,它们还需要放开国内产品和要素市场,这样它们的农民就能更好地利用国外的新市场机会。作者还讨论了低收入国家对农业贸易改革的其他担忧:关税优惠侵蚀是否会造成损失,粮食进口国是否会受到国际市场粮食价格上涨的影响,中国加入WTO是否会成为贸易改革通过降低中国农民获得的价格而加剧贫困的一个例子,以及对粮食安全和扶贫的影响。
Agricultural Trade Reform and Poverty Reduction in Developing Countries
The author offers an economic assessment of the opportunities and challenges provided by the World Trade Organization's Doha Development Agenda, particularly through agricultural trade liberalization, for low-income countries seeking to trade their way out of poverty. After discussing links between poverty, economic growth, and trade, he reports modeling results showing that farm product markets remain the most costly of all goods market distortions in world trade. The author focuses on what such reform might mean for developing countries both with and without their involvement in the multilateral trade negotiations. What becomes clear is that if those countries want to maximize their benefits from the Doha round, they need also to free up their own domestic product and factor markets so their farmers are better able to take advantage of new market opportunities abroad. The author also addresses other concerns of low-income countries about farm trade reform: whether there would be losses associated with tariff preference erosion, whether food-importing countries would suffer from higher food prices in international markets, whether China's WTO accession will provide an example of trade reform aggravating poverty by way of cuts in prices received by Chinese farmers, and the impact on food security and poverty alleviation.