{"title":"利用模糊随机自回归时间序列模型预测最高最低温度","authors":"R. Efendi, N. Samsudin, N. Arbaiy, M. M. Deris","doi":"10.1109/ISCBI.2017.8053544","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Many models have been suggested to predict the weather and temperature data. Most of them used the single point data in building prediction equations. Besides that, the randomness, the vagueness and possibility of the temperature data are also not much concerned. In this paper, we introduce the minimum-maximum procedure for daily temperature modeling based on fuzzy random auto-regression time series. The proposed procedure was able to cover the variability of the temperature in nature. The result showed that mean square error of proposed model is smaller than the existing models.","PeriodicalId":128441,"journal":{"name":"2017 5th International Symposium on Computational and Business Intelligence (ISCBI)","volume":"105 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2017-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"5","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Maximum-minimum temperature prediction using fuzzy random auto-regression time series model\",\"authors\":\"R. Efendi, N. Samsudin, N. Arbaiy, M. M. Deris\",\"doi\":\"10.1109/ISCBI.2017.8053544\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Many models have been suggested to predict the weather and temperature data. Most of them used the single point data in building prediction equations. Besides that, the randomness, the vagueness and possibility of the temperature data are also not much concerned. In this paper, we introduce the minimum-maximum procedure for daily temperature modeling based on fuzzy random auto-regression time series. The proposed procedure was able to cover the variability of the temperature in nature. The result showed that mean square error of proposed model is smaller than the existing models.\",\"PeriodicalId\":128441,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"2017 5th International Symposium on Computational and Business Intelligence (ISCBI)\",\"volume\":\"105 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2017-08-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"5\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"2017 5th International Symposium on Computational and Business Intelligence (ISCBI)\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1109/ISCBI.2017.8053544\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"2017 5th International Symposium on Computational and Business Intelligence (ISCBI)","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1109/ISCBI.2017.8053544","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Maximum-minimum temperature prediction using fuzzy random auto-regression time series model
Many models have been suggested to predict the weather and temperature data. Most of them used the single point data in building prediction equations. Besides that, the randomness, the vagueness and possibility of the temperature data are also not much concerned. In this paper, we introduce the minimum-maximum procedure for daily temperature modeling based on fuzzy random auto-regression time series. The proposed procedure was able to cover the variability of the temperature in nature. The result showed that mean square error of proposed model is smaller than the existing models.