海平面上升已经延误了沿海通勤者

M. Hauer, V. Mueller, G. Sheriff
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摘要

虽然海平面上升(SLR)最可怕的社会影响通常在21世纪末显现,但由于反复发生的潮汐洪水,许多沿海社区目前面临着挑战。在最近的过去,很少有研究记录由于潮汐洪水造成的交通中断。在这里,我们通过结合2002年至2017年美国沿海县约5亿通勤者的家庭和工作地点来解决这一问题。我们发现潮汐洪水在2015-2017年期间每年使沿海通勤者延迟约22分钟,在各种SLR情景下,到2060年将增加到200至650分钟。居住和工作地点的调整减少了大约40%的美国县通勤延误的增长。对于沿海县的居民来说,单反并不是一个遥远的威胁——它已经在拍打着他们的脚趾。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Sea level rise already delays coastal commuters
Although the most dire societal impacts of sea-level rise (SLR) typically manifest toward the end of the 21st century, many coastal communities face challenges in the present due to recurrent tidal flooding. Few studies have documented transportation disruptions due to tidal flooding in the recent past. Here, we address this issue by combining home and work locations for approximately 500 million commuters in coastal US counties from 2002 to 2017. We find tidal flooding delays coastal commuters by approximately 22 min per year in 2015–2017, increasing to between 200 and 650 min by 2060 under various SLR scenarios. Adjustments in residential and work locations reduce the growth in commuting delays for approximately 40% of US counties. For residents in coastal counties, SLR is not a distant threat—it is already lapping at their toes.
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