俄罗斯入侵乌克兰的动因及其对非洲的影响

Adaora Osondu-Oti, Emeka C. Iloh, O. Omole
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引用次数: 0

摘要

这项研究调查了俄罗斯入侵乌克兰以及这两个东欧国家之间正在进行的战争。它审查了入侵的遥远和直接原因,以及联合国安理会领导和其他成员以及其他世界领导人对侵略的立场。该研究还分析了俄罗斯对入侵的理由,理由是俄罗斯的安全正受到北约继续向东欧扩张的威胁,莫斯科声称这是一条不可容忍的红线。简要介绍了导致入侵/战争的危机背景,以及引发入侵的内部和外部因素。最后,本文考察了俄罗斯入侵非洲的影响。该研究主要依靠来自互联网的文献证据,并应用现实主义理论来分析问题。研究发现,尽管北约东扩和乌克兰加入安全联盟的意图是此次入侵的直接诱因,但还有其他一些遥远的因素促成了入侵。该研究还发现,尽管非洲距离冲突地区有数英里之遥,但它在许多方面都受到冲突的影响。除其他外,该文件建议非洲应在冲突中保持不结盟的姿态,并应在非洲大陆内部和与非欧洲伙伴寻求更密切的联系,以缓冲战争的影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine, the Driving Forces, and Implications for Africa
The study interrogates the issues surrounding Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and the ongoing war between the two Eastern European countries. It examines the remote and immediate causes of the invasion as well as the position of leading and other members of the UN Security Council and other world leaders on the aggression. The study also analysed Russia’s justification of the invasion based on the fact that Russia’s security is being threatened by the continued expansion of NATO to Eastern Europe, against which Moscow claims it is a red line that cannot be tolerated. A brief background of the crisis that led to the invasion/war was examined, as well as the internal and external factors that triggered the invasion. Finally, the paper examined the implications of Russia’s invasion of Africa. The study relied on documentary evidence sourced mainly from the internet and applied the realist theory in analysing the issues. The study found that though NATO’s expansion eastwards and Ukraine’s intention to join the security alliance were the immediate triggers for the invasion, several other remote factors contributed to the invasion. The study also found that though Africa is miles away from the theatre of conflict, it is being affected in several ways by the conflict. Amongst others, the paper recommends that Africa should maintain its non-aligned posture in the conflict, and should seek closer ties within the continent and with non-European partners to cushion the effects of the war.
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