2013-2017年原油、欧元/美元和主要ETS市场波动溢出效应:一个三元cDCC-GARCH应用

K. Tsiaras, T. Simos
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文研究了原油的时变条件相关性。欧元/美元和主要ETS市场。为了捕捉2013-2017年期间市场之间潜在的传染效应,我们应用了一个三变量动态条件相关(cDCC) GARCH模型。实证结果揭示了三变量模型在研究期间的传染效应,显示了市场之间潜在的波动传导渠道。研究结果对为上述衍生品市场提供监管的政策制定者具有重要意义。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Volatility Spillovers among Crude Oil, EUR/USD and Major ETS Markets during 2013-2017: A Trivariate cDCC-GARCH Application
This paper examines the time-varying conditional correlations among Crude oil. EUR/USD and major ETS markets. We apply a trivariate dynamic conditional correlation (cDCC) GARCH models in order to capture potential contagion effects between the markets for the period 2013-2017. Empirical results reveal contagion during the under investigation period regarding the trivariate models, showing potential volatility transmission channels among the markets. Findings have crucial implications for policymakers who provide regulations for the above derivative markets.
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