投资在巴基斯坦经济增长过程中的作用

M. H. Sial, M. H. Hashmi, Sofia Anwar
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引用次数: 23

摘要

本研究以巴基斯坦为例,着重探讨投资在经济增长过程中的作用。本研究采用向量自回归方法(VAR)分析了公共和私人投资的作用以及政治和宏观经济不确定性对巴基斯坦经济增长的影响。从长期来看,公共和私人投资对经济增长都有积极的影响,但与公共投资相比,这种增长主要是由私人投资推动的。政府消费支出、经济不确定性和政治不稳定阻碍了巴基斯坦的经济增长。在短期内,私人投资对经济增长有正向影响,而公共投资和政府消费支出对经济增长的影响为负且不显著。短期内,经济不确定性(通货膨胀的代表)与GDP之间存在正相关关系。关键词:投资,政府消费,增长,协整,巴基斯坦。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Role of Investment in the Course of Economic Growth in Pakistan
The present research was focused to investigate the role of investment in the course of economic growth with reference to Pakistan. The study analyzed the role of the public and private investment and impact of the political and macroeconomic uncertainty on economic growth of Pakistan by using the vector autoregressive approach (VAR). In long-run both public and private investment showed a positive impact on economic growth but the growth was largely driven by private investment as compared to public investment. Government consumption expenditure, economic uncertainty and political instability hampered the economic growth of Pakistan. In short-run the private investment positively influences the growth but there was negative and insignificant effect of the public investment and government consumption expenditure on the growth. There was a positive relationship found between economic uncertainty (proxy for inflation) and GDP in short run. Keywords—Investment, Government Consumption, Growth, Co-integration, Pakistan.
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