结构VAR模型:在法国货币政策中的应用(法语)

C. Bruneau, O. de Bandt
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摘要

本文讨论了“结构”VAR模型的目的和局限性。它解释了建模者在过程的不同阶段必须做出的选择。对1972年1-1995年2月期间法国货币政策冲击的分析提供了一个例证。与以往对该国的研究相比,主要发现是货币政策对经济活动和通货膨胀的统计显著影响。这是通过引入一个衡量预算政策的额外变量来实现的。文章表明,“结构性”var可以用来分析1993年的经济衰退。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Structural VAR Modeling: Application to France's Monetary Policy (In French)
This paper discusses the purposes and limits of " structural " VAR modeling. It explains the choices that modelers have to make at different stages of the procedure. An illustration is provided by an analysis of monetary policy shocks in France over the 1972 : 1-1995 : 2. Compared with previous studies of this country, the main finding is the statistically significant effect of monetary policy on economic activity and inflation. This is found by introducing an additional variable that measures budget policy. The article shows that " structural " VARs can be used to analyse the 1993 recession.
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