基于AE-LSTM的水质预测方法研究

Huiqing Zhang, Kemei Jin
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引用次数: 5

摘要

针对传统的影响水质的相关参数预测方法通常只考虑水质相关参数的时间特征,而忽略了水质变化具有多元相关性的问题,提出了一种基于自动编码器(AE)降维和长短时记忆(LSTM)神经网络的时空相关水质参数预测方法。首先,考虑到水质参数变化具有明显的时间特征,建立了基于LSTM的水质参数时间序列预测模型。其次,考虑到水质变化具有多重相关性,上游水质也会影响下游水质。如果将上游站的所有水质参数都加入到预测模型中,多余的特征会降低参数预测的精度。因此,采用自动编码器对相关参数进行降维。最后,以廊坊市水质自动监测站数据集为例,对该方法的有效性进行了验证。通过对总磷(TP)和总氮(TN)浓度的预测,发现该方法具有较好的预测精度和稳健性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Research on water quality prediction method based on AE-LSTM
Aiming at the traditional prediction methods of related parameters that affect water quality, they usually only consider the temporal characteristics of the related parameters of water quality and ignore the problem that water quality changes are multivariate related, A prediction method of spatiotemporal correlation water quality parameters based on automatic encoder (AE) dimensionality reduction and long and short time memory (LSTM) neural network is proposed. Firstly, considering that water quality parameter changes have obvious time characteristics, a time series prediction model of water quality parameters is established based on LSTM. Secondly, considering that the water quality changes have multiple correlations, the upstream water quality will also affect the downstream water quality. If all the water quality parameters of the upstream station are added to the prediction model, redundant features will reduce the accuracy of parameter prediction. Therefore, the automatic encoder is used to reduce the dimensionality of the relevant parameters. Finally, the data set of Lang fang Water Quality Automatic Monitoring Station is applied to monitor the effectiveness of the method. By predicting the concentration of total phosphorus (TP) and total nitrogen (TN), the method is found to have better prediction accuracy and robustness.
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