关联风险发现以量化风险

Aaron D. Sanders, Tong Sun, Yin Pan, Bo Yuan
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引用次数: 0

摘要

定量信息技术(IT)风险分析的研究在过去十年中有所增加,但大部分研究都集中在创造替代现有方法的新方法上。由于组织在他们的风险管理程序中投入了大量的沉没成本,因此有必要扩展和改进现有的方法。此外,如果没有数学专业知识或专门的工具,许多定量方法很难实现,它们专注于量化单个漏洞,对影响IT风险的潜在过程差距提供的见解很少,并且不便于在风险评级中包括环境因素。我们的研究重点是识别现有方法中缺失的风险属性或特征,并使用统计分析技术对其相关性进行量化。我们寻求识别和量化属性,进一步缩小列举IT风险和理解它们所呈现的实际风险之间的差距。在本文中,我们确定了风险发现之间的关系作为一个关键属性,并演示了使用相关性来量化这种关系。相关分析使组织能够发现过程差距,以及默认风险等级可能不够的情况。在本文中,我们讨论了关联风险发现的好处,并通过实证案例研究证明了价值和可行性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Correlating Risk Findings to Quantify Risk
Research in quantitative Information Technology (IT) risk analysis has increased in the past decade, but much of that research has focused on creating new approaches that replace existing ones. Since organizations have extensive sunk costs invested in their risk management programs, there exists a need to extend and improve existing approaches. Additionally, many quantitative approaches are difficult to implement without mathematical expertise or specialized tools, focus on quantifying individual vulnerabilities, provide little insight into underlying process gaps affecting IT risk and do not facilitate including environmental factors in risk ratings. Our research focuses on identifying attributes or characteristics of risk that are missing from existing approaches, and quantifying their relevance using statistical analysis techniques. We seek to identify and quantify attributes that further close the gap between enumerating IT risks and understanding the actual risk they present. In this paper we identify the relationship between risk findings as a key attribute, and demonstrate using correlation to quantify the relationship. Correlation analysis enables organizations to uncover process gaps, and situations where default risk ratings may not be sufficient. In this paper, we discuss the benefits of correlating risk findings and demonstrate value and feasibility through an empirical case study.
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