利用国民经济核算数据确定能源和物质资源的关税限额

Vitaly Postolati
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摘要

摩尔多瓦共和国国民核算所反映的主要宏观经济指标的结构和相互联系:“释放”(R)、“中间消费”(IC)、“总增加值”(GVA)、“国内生产总值”(GDP)。关税在经济指标总体结构中的地位已经确定。研究表明,能源和其他类型物质资源的关税以及伴随生产周期的成本处于“中间消费”(IC)部门。结果表明,关税的增加会导致GVA的减少,进而导致生产量(GDP)的减少。只要关税的增长超过实际GDP的增长,它就会以定量的形式建立起来。考虑到实际国内生产总值增长的动态、计划国内生产总值增长的指标以及平均年度消费者价格指数,给出了一种设定关税限制的新方法。在计算和实证的基础上,得出的结论是,天然气的关税应降低5.6%,电力的关税应降低17.7%,中央供暖系统的热能关税应降低32%。拟议的方法和办法将有助于整个经济的可持续发展,包括能源部门,并考虑到进一步改善社会领域状况的任务。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Determination of Tariff Limits for Energy and Material Resources Using National Accounts Data
The structure and interconnection of the main macroeconomic indicators reflected in the National Accounts of the Republic of Moldova: “Release” (R), “Intermediate Consumption” (IC), “Gross Value Added” (GVA), “Gross Domestic Product” (GDP). The place of tariffs in the general structure of economic indicators has been determined. It is shown that the tariffs for energy and other types of material resources and the costs accompanying the production cycle are in the “Intermediate Consumption” (IC) sector. It is shown that an increase in tariffs leads to a decrease (GVA) and, accordingly, a decrease in volume (GDP). It is established in a quantitative form as far as the growth of tariffs overtakes the growth of real GDP. A new methodology for setting tariff limits is given, taking into account the dynamics of real GDP growth, indicators of planned GDP growth, as well as the average annual consumer price index. On the basis of calculations and substantiations, it is concluded that tariffs should be reduced by 5.6% for natural gas, by 17.7% for electricity, and by 32% for thermal energy of the central heating system, compared to their current values. The proposed methodology and approach will contribute to the sustainable development of the economy as a whole, including the energy sector, and also take into account the tasks of further improving the state of the social sphere.
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