模糊行为平衡

Sophie Bade
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引用次数: 86

摘要

采用一个允许明确随机化策略的博弈论框架来研究歧义厌恶对均衡结果的影响。对“独立策略”和“共同先验”的概念进行了修改,使其适用于玩家缺乏概率复杂性的游戏。在这个框架内,两个玩家游戏的平衡预测与模糊厌恶和模糊中立的玩家在观察上是相等的。这个等价结果不适用于有两个以上参与者的博弈。将信念中的均衡概念翻译为歧义厌恶的背景,即使是只有两个参与者的情况,也会产生截然不同的预测。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Ambiguous Act Equilibria
A game-theoretic framework that allows for explicitly randomized strategies is used to study the effect of ambiguity aversion on equilibrium outcomes. The notions of "independent strategies" as well as of "common priors" are amended to render them applicable to games in which players lack probabilistic sophistication. Within this framework the equilibrium predictions of two player games with ambiguity averse and with ambiguity neutral players are observationally equivalent. This equivalence result does not extend to the case of games with more than two players. A translation of the concept of equilibrium in beliefs to the context of ambiguity aversion yields substantially di erent predictions – even for the case with just two players.
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