财政赤字控制的最优机制

Hans Peter Gruener
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本文证明了一种简单的两阶段投票机制可以实现关于财政赤字规模的约束最优状态依赖决策。我考虑的是Tabellini和Alesina(1990)的战略财政赤字设置。三组选民被告知当前公共支出的生产率。选民对公共产品的偏好不同,摇摆选民的偏好可能会随着时间的推移而改变。现任政府决定当前的支出组合,它有战略超支的动机。在某些条件下,一个简单的两阶段机制——赤字需要议会绝对多数的批准——实现了一个有约束的最优决策。当目前的多数派较小时,政治讨价还价可能会进一步增加社会福利。然而,当当前多数很大时,议价的绝对多数机制会导致有偏见的支出组合并减少福利,而自由放任机制可能会产生第一最佳。适当调整多数阈值可以处理这个问题。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Optimal Mechanisms for the Control of Fiscal Deficits
This paper shows that a simple two-stage voting mechanism may implement a constrained optimal state dependent decision about the size of the fiscal deficit. I consider a setup with strategic fiscal deficits a la Tabellini and Alesina (1990). Three groups of voters are informed about the productivity of current public spending. Voters differ in their preferences for public goods and swing voters' preferences may change over time. The current government decides on the current spending mix and it has an incentive to strategically overspend. Under certain conditions, a simple two-stage mechanism in which a deficit requires the approval by a supermajority in parliament implements a constrained optimal decision. When the current majority is small, political bargaining may further increase social welfare. However, when the current majority is large, a supermajority mechanism with bargaining leads to a biased spending mix and reduces welfare whereas the laissez faire mechanism may yield the first best. An appropriately adjusted majority threshold can deal with this problem.
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