影响孟加拉国对华出口的因素分析:一个实证分析

M. Bhuiyan, Afsanin Rafsan Alve
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引用次数: 0

摘要

随着孟加拉国不断寻找机会减少与中国的巨额贸易逆差,孟中双边贸易分析的重要性日益增加。本研究使用著名的“贸易引力模型”分析了孟加拉国对中国的出口。该研究使用以下因素考察了孟加拉国1999年至2020年对中国的出口:孟加拉国国内生产总值(GDP)、中国国内生产总值(GDP)、孟加拉国人口、中国人口、孟加拉国与中国的相对距离、中国征收的加权平均关税税率以及孟加拉国与中国之间的相关贸易协定。研究结果表明,孟加拉国对中国的出口将随着孟加拉国和中国的gdp、孟加拉国和中国的人口以及孟加拉国和中国之间贸易协定数量的增加而增加。研究还表明,孟加拉国对中国的出口将随着中国对孟加拉国进口产品征收关税的增加和出口订单覆盖距离的增加而减少。这项研究的结果为孟加拉国成功摆脱最不发达国家地位提供了政策启示。《商业研究》,Vol. 32, No. 1, 2021 . Page 73-86
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Analysis of Factors Affecting Bangladesh’s Export to China: An Empirical Analysis
The importance of bilateral trade analysis between Bangladesh and China is increasing as Bangladesh constantly searches for opportunities to reduce the enormous trade deficit with China. This study analyzes Bangladesh’s export to China using the famous ‘Trade Gravity Model.’ The study examined Bangladesh’s exports to China from 1999 to 2020 using factors: Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of Bangladesh, Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of China, Population of Bangladesh, Population of China, Relative Distance between Bangladesh and China, Weighted Average Tariff Rate imposed by China and Relevant Trade Agreements between Bangladesh and China. The findings suggest that the exports of Bangladesh to China will rise with the increase of GDPs of Bangladesh and China, the populations of Bangladesh and China, and with the growth of number of trade agreements between Bangladesh and China. The study also shows that Bangladesh’s export to China will decrease with the increase of tariffs imposed by China on imports from Bangladesh and length of distance covered by the export order. The study’s findings provide policy implications for Bangladesh towards its successful graduation from the Least Developed Countries (LDCs) status. Journal of Business Studies, Vol. XLII, No. 1, April 2021 Page 73-86
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