孤立电力系统负荷预测的混合方法

G. Sideratos, I. Vitellas, N. Hatziargyriou
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引用次数: 4

摘要

本文提出了一种针对孤立电力系统的负荷预测混合模型。该模型由四个模块和一个组合模块组成,这些模块对未来的负荷需求进行初步估计。采用径向基函数神经网络(RBFNNs)进行初始预测,并采用多层感知器(mlp)进行组合。重点研究了rbfnn的泛化能力,并利用粒子群优化(PSO)算法开发了自学习过程。在克里特岛的案例研究中获得了满意的评价结果。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A load forecasting hybrid method for an isolated power system
This paper presents a load forecasting hybrid model designed for isolated power systems. The proposed model consists of four modules that estimate initially the future load demand and a combination module. Radial basis function neural networks (RBFNNs) are applied to make the initial predictions and multilayer perceptrons (MLPs) are used to combine them. Emphasis is given to the RBFNNs generalization ability developing a self-learning procedure with the Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) algorithm. Satisfactory results are obtained after the evaluation in the Crete case study.
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