利用中尺度对流系统的形态和动力特性研究热带气旋/飓风的遥感应用,建立热带气旋/飓风预报模式(TCFM/HFM

Virendra Goswami
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引用次数: 0

摘要

现时的热带气旋/飓风天气研究及预报(TCFM/HWRF)系统可预报热带气旋/飓风的核心结构,预报时间可达5天。因此,通过研究飓风能量与中尺度NH-SH对流系统的动力流体运动和物理特征(如辐射传输、化学、云过程)的关系,对5天以后飓风的路径(运动)、强度、速度和内核结构进行测试、评估和改进预测,以开发一种独特的热带气旋/飓风预报模式(TCFM/HFM)。为横跨大西洋、亚太、北印度洋和南半球海洋盆地的所有全球热带气旋/飓风提供业务实时预报指引。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Application of Remote Sensing to Study Tropical Cyclones/ Hurricane Energetic to Develop Tropical Cyclone/Hurricane Forecasting Models (TCFM/HFM) Through Morphological and Dynamical Properties of Meso-Scale Convective Systems
The present Tropical Cyclones/Hurricane Weather Research and Forecast (TCFM/HWRF) system is capable to forecast the inner core structure of the Tropical Cyclones/Hurricanes out to 5 days. Hence, efforts are to be made to test, evaluate, and improve predictions of Hurricane’s track(motion), intensity, speed, and inner core Structure, beyond 5 days ,through the study of Hurricane energetic in correlation with dynamical fluid motions and physical features (e.g. radiative transfer, chemistry, cloud processes), of meso-scale NH-SH Convective systems in order to develop a unique Tropical Cyclone/Hurricane Forecast Models (TCFM/HFM), acting as an Operational real-time forecast guidance for all global tropical cyclones/hurricanes across the Atlantic, Asia Pacific, North Indian Ocean and Southern Hemisphere ocean basins.
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